Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.651191 0.840236 1.053688 1.309583 1.605084 1.932805 2.320899
2025-05-11 0.369041 0.592861 0.880992 1.265363 1.751216 2.332286 3.066888
2025-05-18 0.220281 0.448428 0.783529 1.275930 1.946920 2.797833 3.926442
2025-05-25 0.119886 0.325020 0.673973 1.238887 2.064287 3.166097 4.687349
2025-06-01 0.075979 0.271141 0.648745 1.308933 2.324826 3.731102 5.726789
2025-06-08 0.041395 0.210734 0.591536 1.314043 2.485068 4.163828 6.608279
2025-06-15 0.026715 0.186744 0.592580 1.410169 2.784105 4.800778 7.787462
2025-06-22 0.015204 0.158681 0.575166 1.468219 3.024061 5.360638 8.877475
2025-06-29 0.007288 0.129798 0.544711 1.494759 3.211101 5.847292 9.877412
2025-07-06 0.002253 0.097115 0.490045 1.462968 3.294656 6.178740 10.663055
2025-07-13 0.000609 0.078609 0.464974 1.484582 3.466773 6.647140 11.654931
2025-07-20 0.000068 0.062739 0.439394 1.499257 3.624686 7.096184 12.627181
2025-07-27 NaN 0.043601 0.390185 1.454007 3.674833 7.384684 13.382738
2025-08-03 NaN 0.028548 0.342127 1.400245 3.702764 7.637036 14.090794
2025-08-10 NaN 0.020992 0.320856 1.408330 3.847139 8.081645 15.098672
2025-08-17 NaN 0.013011 0.284310 1.367042 3.889938 8.358529 15.856027
2025-08-24 NaN 0.011238 0.288732 1.441049 4.167549 9.034752 17.240683
2025-08-31 NaN 0.007645 0.270838 1.446049 4.303517 9.475098 18.267980
2025-09-07 NaN 0.007240 0.284282 1.548367 4.646398 10.275589 19.869613
2025-09-14 NaN 0.005913 0.284782 1.610099 4.906395 10.939685 21.268059
2025-09-21 NaN 0.004208 0.275361 1.638295 5.096037 11.486605 22.490909
2025-09-28 NaN 0.002173 0.249000 1.604402 5.148936 11.796471 23.343901
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001357 0.239853 1.627404 5.326481 12.327529 24.555158